The Internet Was Never Growing So Fast - Part II

from the sounds-familiar dept

The Wall Street Journal (republished, free of charge, at MSNBC) has an article talking about the myth that internet traffic was doubling every three months which was popular during the boom times - and which caused telecom companies to put down as much fiber as they did. The article sounds familiar to me, mainly because, it's almost the exact same article we posted a few months back. This article points out that back in 1995 and 1996 traffic probably was doubling at that rate, but it was clearly an unsustainable growth rate. Companies that believed it would go on forever were just being thick headed. Kevin Werbach comes up with a good quote at the end of the article: "Its like there are a lot of Olympic sprinters who died and people are trying to blame the guy who fired the starting pistol. Nobody forced these companies to build so many redundant networks."
Hide this

Thank you for reading this Techdirt post. With so many things competing for everyone’s attention these days, we really appreciate you giving us your time. We work hard every day to put quality content out there for our community.

Techdirt is one of the few remaining truly independent media outlets. We do not have a giant corporation behind us, and we rely heavily on our community to support us, in an age when advertisers are increasingly uninterested in sponsoring small, independent sites — especially a site like ours that is unwilling to pull punches in its reporting and analysis.

While other websites have resorted to paywalls, registration requirements, and increasingly annoying/intrusive advertising, we have always kept Techdirt open and available to anyone. But in order to continue doing so, we need your support. We offer a variety of ways for our readers to support us, from direct donations to special subscriptions and cool merchandise — and every little bit helps. Thank you.

–The Techdirt Team


Reader Comments

Subscribe: RSS

View by: Time | Thread


  • identicon
    lorenzo, 27 Sep 2002 @ 1:12am

    No Subject Given

    They ve got the numbers at hand, I haven t so maybve they re right on being so pessimistic about all that dark fiber but I am thinking:

    once all the fixed investment to lay the cables is written off, who picks up the asset has a easier ride than those who built it

    I reckon that all the optical equipment to light dark fiber is still as much investment as laying the cable itself in the groung or under the sea but: is there any Moore law about optics, light amplification and colors that actually double capacity per single fiber every 10 months.

    So, there s room for lower prices, much much room. And if they don t start passing those lower prices onto consumers, traffic won t grow and we go into negative feedback.

    and that s what makes depressions, after Keynes multiplier we ve got the Telco demultiplier

    link to this | view in chronology ]

  • identicon
    Saygin?, 27 Sep 2002 @ 8:35am

    No Subject Given

    Oddly, the Economist published the same article as well. (The Economist article was better written, I think.)

    "The power of WorldCom�s puff"
    (From The Economist print edition) Jul 20th 2002
    http://www.economist.com/displayStory.cfm?Story_ID=S%27%29H%24%2FQQ%27%20%210%22%20%0A

    link to this | view in chronology ]


Follow Techdirt
Essential Reading
Techdirt Deals
Report this ad  |  Hide Techdirt ads
Techdirt Insider Discord

The latest chatter on the Techdirt Insider Discord channel...

Loading...
Recent Stories

This site, like most other sites on the web, uses cookies. For more information, see our privacy policy. Got it
Close

Email This

This feature is only available to registered users. Register or sign in to use it.