How Many Users Does Skype Really Have?

from the murky-at-best dept

Fri, Apr 28th 2006 8:20am — Carlo Longino

When eBay released its latest quarterly earnings, we noted that the revenue growth it reported for Skype was misleading, since the percentage growth figure was based on a previous quarter that only contained 78 days' worth of revenue. Skype today says it's passed the 100 million user mark, meaning that 100 million usernames have been registered. But several people are wondering just what this really means, and how many users Skype really has. Skype and eBay aren't very upfront about it, saying that the service sees about 6 million users at peak times, with the only indication of how many paid users the service has came back during its auction-via-media in July, when it came out it had just 1.7 million paid users out of 45 million registered at the time. Without a clear representation of how many active users the service has and how many of them are actually paying customers, it's pretty difficult to discern how the business is really doing, and if there's enough substance underneath to back up all the hype.

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22 Comments

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Ro, 28 Apr 2006 @ 9:16am

Lol
So... are you saying 1.7 million paying customers is a bad thing (what other VOIP application do you know of that has 1.7 million paid customers or 6 million concurrent customers)? Or that 100MM registered users as a front-end funnel is a negative? You're reaching here Carlo...
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JakeOfMilwaukee, 28 Apr 2006 @ 9:41am

Loller missing the point . . .
He's not saying that any of the reported numbers are bad or negative or even unimpressive. The point here is that Skype is being confusing and misleading in reporting data that is important in analyzing their performance and growth. If they feel the need to mislead people, that's usually a good indicator that they don't feel too good about where they are right now.
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km, 28 Apr 2006 @ 9:44am

No a correct user number
so... you think skype really 100 milions user... i think the number is created by skype company. only them know how many active user only is using their software ???
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Jasen, 28 Apr 2006 @ 9:47am

I recently became a paying
Basic phone at home for DSL. Was going to go with Vonage, but didn't think I was going to use the service all that much. Cell phone is primary number, so the pay as you go model worked good in my situation. Make continental calls every now and then.
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Biker John, 28 Apr 2006 @ 9:50am

I skyped my knee when I fell off my bike :( My bike is ok though.
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A Funny Guy / The Poison Pen, 28 Apr 2006 @ 9:52am

Skype
Amazing service and very versitile. Just become a paid user yesterday as a matter of fact. I have tested this service on 56k dialup and it works great in my area even with a low level company like peoplePC. Of course it sounds a little better over my broadband connection, but it is perfectly usable on a dialup connection if your not doing anything else to use bandwidth. The hype dosn't attract me to products, the quality does. This product has the quality to make it if management does not get greedy or screw the concept up.
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Ro, 28 Apr 2006 @ 9:59am

This is from the post "it's pretty difficult to discern how the business is really doing". Carlo is making a statement on the business. Again, I think a P2P VOIP provider with 1.7M paying customers and 6M concurrent customers is a pretty clear indication that the business is doing well.

Revenue was over $35M for the quarter. Assuming no growth that would be over $120M in annualized run rate... except that growth was 23% sequentially quarter over quarter, so $200M in revenue is realizable. This is from a base of $50-60MM in 2005. Again, how is this not clear that the business is doing well? How many businesses reach $200M in revenue in 2 years...?
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- Just Another Joe, 28 Apr 2006 @ 10:11am
  
  Re:
  Again you are missing the point here. The point Carlo is trying to convey is, companies should be up-front when reporting financial statistics that investors use to decide on investments. When a company issues misleading or unrealiable data, investors have the potential to make crappy decsicions (not that they don't do that enough all by themselvs).
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  - SMc, 3 May 2006 @ 2:35pm
    
    Re: Re:
    Yo Yo's like Carlo have more of a negative effect for us current stockholders. The company is solid and making money. The stock price is suffering because of so called anal-lyst.
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Michael, 28 Apr 2006 @ 10:11am

Great service...
I use Skype for international calls and for PC to PC communication with friends, and I'm really happy with the service.. Voice quality is very good too.
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- Brian, 29 Apr 2006 @ 8:29am
  
  Re: Great service...
  Users out there: How is the Skype service as regards faxing? We tried Champion (now NexBoom - a silly name if there ever was one), and had large problems with trying to fax.
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TherWeb20Dev, 28 Apr 2006 @ 10:47am

Skype-o-matic
Skype is a great tool, but Carlo is right they do need to be more forthcoming with their statistics for investors
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Ro, 28 Apr 2006 @ 11:08am

I'll leave it at this. 100MM registered users is a marketing mechanism to generate excitement and further interest from other users. Given Skype has already been acquired and is now part of a public company, investors now have access to Skype's revenue and paid user base. Any company that doesn't market their accomplishments isn't doing shareholders any favors either...
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Smut101, 28 Apr 2006 @ 11:09am

Who Cares
Who Cares? Mind your own buisness carlo
;)
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Duane Nickull, 28 Apr 2006 @ 11:34am

6-12% is about average
In the Telco industry, most telco's have a similar average. For instance, if they have 100 subscribers, they actually only have bandwidth to support about 17% maximum of those subscribers at peak times, being approximately 5 times the multiple of "normal" traffic. If Skype had 100 million users, using the same metric, during normal operating times about 20% of 17% would be using it. This equates to around 3.5 million using it at any one time. I am not sure what the metric is for online, vs. using skype however given that the telco has 100% of ther suscribers connected, albeit doing nothing until they get a call.
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Nobby, 28 Apr 2006 @ 2:18pm

?
What's a skype and where can I get one. Is it sorta like a snark?
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RK, 28 Apr 2006 @ 10:32pm

Just wait-n-watch
Carlo,

Just wait and watch how Skype phenomenon catches up around the world. They would be having close to 200 million users by the end of 2006. Stop being pessimistic about the technology, otherwise you would have missed the boat and it will be too late bythe time you realize that.
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Matt, 25 May 2006 @ 9:39am

The Real point
Skype is doing fine as a business. 100 Million users doesn't mean jack-squat. It's one of those usless facts because some people register then never use it. In fact I'll admit that I was one of those users that heard about it when it first came out, looked at it, and didn't look at it again until 7 months ago.

1.7 million paid users is an excellent indicator of the company's well-being, keeping in mind that that number is sure to have increased if not doubled. Also having 6 million active users at any given time is also another excellent sign.

Carlo, if you're going to post something like that, post it in a forum, not in a news column. You opinion is clearly uninformed and overall not seasoned at all.
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sean, 7 Jun 2006 @ 8:21am

How many customers for other voip company like wengo?
Who knows?
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giselle, 7 Mar 2007 @ 12:51am

skype hype
I just did a search on Skype for users...and found only about 25 in San Francisco! I was stunned to find only a dozen or so in cities in the middle of the Silicon Valley, like Palo Alto. Several of my friends have Skype, so I thought it was prevalent -- but given that my friends are all major geeks and/or employees of Google, Apple, Adobe, Ebay, etc...this is probably not an accurate sample. Anyway, if you want to check out how active Skype is, the information is right there...in their search capability. It's a fantastic service, but I don't think they've done nearly enough marketing to get it to catch on.
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whits, 30 Apr 2009 @ 9:00pm

just wanted to say i LOVE SKYPE
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lamapper, 9 Jun 2009 @ 5:48pm

between 8 and 18 million at least every minute....
I have been a happy user of Skype for over three years. Based on the usage numbers that I haphazardly track; there are always between 8 million and 19 million users online at any given time. How many of those are paid members I could not guess.

During peak times I consistently see between 15 and 18 million users. During off peak times I see between 8 and 9 million users. I had to go back to January of 2008 to see numbers under 6 million, even the peaks back then were over 14 million.

I would call that impressive.
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