Kevin Kelly's Eight Key Scarcities

from the business-models-for-the-next-century dept

One of the coolest things in writing out my own economic theories on new business models has been seeing some other, much smarter, folks coming up with similar thoughts at the same time. Chris Anderson, editor-in-chief of Wired Magazine and the author of "The Long Tail" is working on a book about "free." He'll be showing how it's not such a crazy idea to price things at free -- and it's actually been done for ages. It should go well with the books on the number zero that inspired some of my thinking. Chris and I have had a few talks about these theories, and I can think of no one better suited to chronicle the history of "free" as it fits into the economic realm. On top of that, it appears that former Wired editor-in-chief Kevin Kelly is now working on another book that touches on the space, and he revealed some of the thinking behind it last week, noting:
"When copies are super abundant, they become worthless. When copies are super abundant, stuff which can't be copied becomes scarce and valuable. When copies are free, you need to sell things which can not be copied."
Hopefully that sounds familiar, just much more eloquently stated than I could put it. While I noted that, even beyond tangible goods, there are always scarcities associated with digital goods, Kelly has put together a fantastic list of eight categories of scarce goods associated with digital goods, noting that each one is "better than free." It's a list worth memorizing, because combinations of those eight things represent the key to a bunch of new business models: Immediacy, Personalization, Interpretation, Authenticity, Accessibility, Embodiment, Patronage and Findability.

It's fantastic to see these ideas getting more and more serious study -- and it also highlights how ideas and concepts spread. All three of us (and quite a few others as well) all came to these ideas through a combination of factors -- mostly independently, I'd imagine. Some interacting with each other. Some through interacting with others. I know that much of my thinking was driven by certain professors I worked with and other books that I read -- combining the different ideas I learned about into this understanding.

If you truly believed in the importance of artificial scarcity, we would all be hoarding our ideas or keeping them secret. Yet that would limit all of us. Seeing Chris and Kevin independently writing and speaking eloquently on these topics helps me both better understand the concepts myself, while also giving me an opportunity to build on their works, to incorporate their thoughts into my own writings, and to hopefully take those thoughts (combined with my own) into new and different areas as well. I can't see how anyone could consider the idea of building on someone else's thoughts "stealing." It appears to be a lot more like "learning" to me. It's the same thing that I see happening here every day as well. While there continue to be people who challenge us in the comments (often helping me to better understand my own arguments as well), I'm also constantly amazed at others who take my own arguments in the comments and make them better. We're all building on the work done by each other, making all of us better off in the long run. It's really quite an eye-opening experience.
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Filed Under: chris anderson, economics, free, kevin kelly, scarcity


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  • icon
    Nick (profile), 4 Feb 2008 @ 2:17pm

    Mike,

    I can't help but think that one of you influenced the other. But that is not necessarily a bad thing. Let's see if they credit you or each other or put their efforts into a single book. BTW, IT Conversations just published a 30 min talk by Chris on this topic. http://itc.conversationsnetwork.org/shows/detail3328.html

    I am going check out the Charles Seife book soon.

    link to this | view in chronology ]

  • identicon
    Anonymous Coward, 4 Feb 2008 @ 2:36pm

    Will be funny when these books on free are published and have a $19.99 price tag.

    link to this | view in chronology ]

  • identicon
    Anonymous Coward, 4 Feb 2008 @ 2:36pm

    You'e actually crediting yourself with inventing those theories and that they are not some how intrinsic to ecconomic theory ?. Next you'll be tellig us that Radiohead and others did the free download thing becaue they were inspired by the mighty Masnick .... oh you did !.

    link to this | view in chronology ]

    • icon
      Mike (profile), 4 Feb 2008 @ 2:41pm

      Re:

      You'e actually crediting yourself with inventing those theories and that they are not some how intrinsic to ecconomic theory ?

      Huh? No, exactly the opposite. I'm saying they *are* intrinsic to economics, and it's nice to see a lot of people recognizing that at the same time. I'm not taking credit for the ideas at all. I thought I was clear on that, and I apologize if you seem to think I implied otherwise.

      link to this | view in chronology ]

      • identicon
        Anonymous Coward, 4 Feb 2008 @ 2:59pm

        Re: Re:

        Is your theory an hypothesis or something stronger like the theory of evolution or something in between?

        So far it hold true for a lot of people, including an entire sector or two(like the free/open source software market), and little people like me.

        I managed even able to find one guy who produce public domain softwares yet was able to depend on pure patronage from fans worldwide. While the patronage is small($500-600 steady every month I think), he is quite unknown among the public. I am certain that he will earn more as his reputation and fame grows.

        link to this | view in chronology ]

    • identicon
      koresho, 4 Feb 2008 @ 3:09pm

      Re:

      "One of the coolest things in writing out my own economic theories on new business models has been seeing some other, much smarter, folks coming up with similar thoughts at the same time." -Mike

      Funny, I wouldn't call that crediting himself- I'd call that him saying that it is cool that others are coming up with the same ideas at the same time.

      link to this | view in chronology ]

  • identicon
    Jon, 4 Feb 2008 @ 2:37pm

    Potential Legal Argument vs. IP Laws

    Your last statement about building upon others ideas is learning has a lot of potential. I would argue that fundamental process of learning is exactly that. Sharing of ideas and building upon them. This could be used as a legal argument vs. IP. Not necessarily applicable to current cases of violation, but more towards bringing sanity to the IP laws.

    link to this | view in chronology ]

  • identicon
    dorpus, 4 Feb 2008 @ 2:39pm

    Scarcity of Standards?

    Market forces can and do fail to resolve discrepancies in standards. Government and quasi-governmental organizations such as ISO have legislated standards where market forces failed. Once upon a time, international shipping was a nightmare of incompatible containers where each company built cargo containers in funny sizes, requiring their own proprietary equipment. Today, it is against international law to ship cargo in containers that do not meet ISO standards. A container must have certain dimensions, meet structural strength requirements, and pass wear resistance tests. In 1961, the International Organization for Standardization (ISO) formed the TC104 (Technical Committee 104) which has contributed to the establishment of an international standard for containers, useful for international distribution.

    Additionally, the Intergovernmental Maritime Consultative Organization (IMCO) created uniform regulations on safe containers by establishing the container subcommittee in 1969. This organization also adopted the International Convention for Safe Containers (CSC) as an international convention for safe containers in the “International Conference for Containers” held by the United Nations Economic and Social Council in 1972.

    link to this | view in chronology ]

  • icon
    Nick (profile), 4 Feb 2008 @ 3:04pm

    I think what Mike gets credit for is drawing relevance between the ideas in the book Zero to the monpolisitc business models that companies try to replicate with internet, and then helping to popularize the idea in the tech blogosphere. But then again, this is not the point of the post. It is that the idea, no matter where it came from, is spreading, and that others are contributing, using different/better explanations.

    link to this | view in chronology ]

  • icon
    GeneralEmergency (profile), 4 Feb 2008 @ 3:18pm

    But isn't this what the record companies tried to

    "When copies are free, you need to sell things which can not be copied."

    So how do you keep people in the recording and other digitizable content industies from interpreting the above mantra as "Slap DRM on everything!".

    How do you break the "DRM Works Myth" cycle? And why is the first stop on this frustration train, always a search for a technological solution? What is it about people that makes it so hard for them to get beyond the "Lock it Down" mentality? Is it possibly because that in nature, there is no equivalent to "Infinite Goods"?

    Air comes to mind as a possible "Infinite Good". Nobody fights over air. (Yet?)

    link to this | view in chronology ]

    • identicon
      Anonymous Coward, 4 Feb 2008 @ 3:30pm

      Re: But isn't this what the record companies tried

      Simple.

      You CRUSH THEM with overwhelming competitive advantages.

      That way nobody will be able to say DRM does work.

      link to this | view in chronology ]

  • identicon
    Martin Chartrand, 4 Feb 2008 @ 5:50pm

    Selling real stuff for real!

    I've got a catalog more than hundred strong of
    TsunaMiXes.

    Up to now I've only published 31 of then online &
    only in low res for promo.

    So when I have a catalog a 1000 strong I'll be
    willing & able to sell a full res distribution
    rights for a good price (in uncopyable medium).

    In the meanwhile I'm letting others give away
    their stuff for free in hi res...

    That's only a glance of my strategy..., to get
    the lowdown you'll have to pay..., if you can
    afford my fee!

    You cannot CRUSH ME with overwhelming competitive
    advantage! 'cause I'm really a genius but I'm
    poor (for now, don't worry I can afford to feed
    myself), you cannot buy that.

    In the long run authenticity prevails!
    If I get monied wanabe copycats trying their hand
    at TsunaMiXing anything. Then the worth of what
    I've produced is only gona go up!

    Look at what happened the ones who downplayed the
    first works of the impressionists.

    Know your art history & you wont
    have to repeat it.

    Martin aka : Vee Jay TsunaMiX

    link to this | view in chronology ]

  • identicon
    nonuser, 4 Feb 2008 @ 7:30pm

    new business models

    Back in the day "TV Guide" was a hugely profitable business, perhaps more so than some of the networks whose programs it covered. In the Internet era, first Yahoo and then Google borrowed that idea that providing the portal could be a better business than providing the content.

    This bothers me some. Not that some folks are getting rich at providing content guides - of course, it makes perfect sense that great business opportunities are out there. But to say that the content that people ultimately want is itself worth practically nothing, except as a loss leader for a bundle of rather mundane goods and services - that seems contrary to the spirit of capitalism and Adam Smith's invisible hand (OK, greed).

    Not everyone is a fan of greedy capitalism in the arts, but it played a major role in the spectacular outpouring of innovative jazz and pop music in America (and later in the UK) throughout most of the previous century. I doubt Smith's model was that the most talented and popular artists and craftspeople in society should be working their arses off to make the same money as everyone else, or perhaps a little more.

    link to this | view in chronology ]

  • identicon
    Sean, 5 Feb 2008 @ 7:14am

    Is his book free?

    If a Gentlemen is working on a book about free, should we expect the great irony of him charging for it? Ideally he should put it online to show a much better grasp of the situation than just releasing it via paperback exclusively. It would be great to give a copy to many libraries for free.

    link to this | view in chronology ]

    • icon
      Mike (profile), 5 Feb 2008 @ 7:44am

      Re: Is his book free?

      If a Gentlemen is working on a book about free, should we expect the great irony of him charging for it?

      Uh, no. If you understand the point of the book, you realize that it's not about how *everything* should be free, but that some things should be free. There's no irony here.

      Ideally he should put it online to show a much better grasp of the situation than just releasing it via paperback exclusively. It would be great to give a copy to many libraries for free.

      However, yes, he has made it clear that he will be making copies available for free in some manner, so there won't even be the irony you think might be there.

      link to this | view in chronology ]

    • identicon
      Santiago, 5 Apr 2008 @ 7:27am

      Re: Is his book free?

      The paperback will obviously not be free, but he can go the Paulo Coelho way. He encourages his fans to pirate his books, because if the content is interesting enough, after reading it on a screen you will probably go out and buy the paperback to keep, lend, annotate or whatever else you might want to do.
      The craziest thing about this author is that he creates and uploads the torrents himself.
      piratecoelho.wordpress.com

      link to this | view in chronology ]


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