February 8 - 14, 1999

from the Up-To-Date dept

Swimming in free stuff
 Up-To-Date 
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The not always serious, 
not always weekly update
on the High-Tech Industry
February 8th - February 14th, 1999
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Swimming in free stuff
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Contest 
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One week left (probably) in the contest to come up with the most creative solution on what to do with Microsoft.  Some good entries so far (some were even serious!).  Entering (by sending your suggestion to ms@techdirt.com) represents your agreement that I can use your name, and (possibly edited) response in a future issue. 

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Say that again... 
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"MSN gives consumers the ability to do multiple, everyday tasks from one location -- manage their finances, book travel, find a restaurant and then make a reservation, purchase books, CDs or cars, and keep in touch with friends and family." 
- Dennis Tevlin, MSN marketing General Manager, on the summary of MSN's new multimillion dollar ad campaign.  Hey, Dennis, the web does all that already.  What have you added? 

"The real danger for Oracle is they've got this hammer.  It's the biggest one, and they're seeing the whole world like a nail and suddenly everyone wants a screwdriver." 
- Mike Gilpin, analyst for Giga Information Group, on the appearance and disappearance of Oracle App Server, in favor of Oracle 8i. 

"When users don't see themselves as having privacy, they'll just lie and give totally false data, so a lot of the data that marketers get today is useless." 
- Ian Goldberg, chief scientist at Zero Knowledge, a company that appears to have created software that makes it easier to give false data. 

"The deal means that Lycos shareholders will go from owning 100% of a company with $75 million in revenue to owning 30% of a company with $1.5 billion in 1998 sales.  Which is better?  If this were a 4th-grade math problem, the right answer would be that having a smaller piece of a much bigger pie is clearly superior." 
- Saul Hansell, industry analyst 

"My guess is that [Net stocks] will continue to pull back for a while.  But maybe not." 
- Henry "Amazon going to $400" Blodget, stock analyst for Oppenheimer 

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Earnings Reports, IPOs and the like 
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Marimba really really (no, really) is going to IPO (finally), though it doesn't look like they filed yet... MarketWatch is gaining a lot more traffic and that translates to *bigger* losses (gotta throw away a ton of money to make money!)... CBS increases its stake in SportsLine... Onsale still losing money, at the expected rate... Prodigy, Healtheon, and VerticalNet, all went public on the same day, and all did well.  Let's see where they are a few months from now... The largest shareholder in AOL is Fidelity... MCI Worldcom beats estimates by a bit... Network Solutions secondary offer falls flat (or lower, actually)... CNet absolutely destroys earnings estimates and announces a stock split... 

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Rumors, Conspiracies etc. of the week... 
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DoubleClick and NetGravity?... Adobe looking to buy out Corel, though everyone denies it with a little too much energy... There was another good rumor that was supposed to be in the space, but the provider of the info got cold feet at the last minute.  While I enjoy getting tidbits from you all, please don't jeopardize your jobs by doing so.  You certainly can't sue me for damages afterward... 

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News you should have read elsewhere 
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Lycos and USA Networks, and the fact that just about *everyone* hates it (I mean, really really hates it).  Hell, even CMGI is having "seller's remorse" and threatening the whole deal (what next, putting pieces of Lycos up for sale on the Home Shopping Network?  Beats eBay)... As Lycos sorts out that whole mess, the SEC is taking a look at their accounting practices over recent acquisitions of theirs... British Telecom and Microsoft in a deal to develop wireless Internet and data services... In the meantime, Cisco and Motorola made a deal to work together in wireless deal worth $1 billion... 

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News you could do without 
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Disney and AOL invest in Oxygen Media in an attempt to make Candice Carpenter quiet down (just once) about how great iVillage is, despite losing over $60 million... Not to be left out, Microsoft announced their WomenCentral site as part of MSN.  Of course, much of it is OEMed (verbing acronyms) by Women.com... Lycos adds online calendaring (from Anyday.com)... Amazon.com gets in trouble for taking publishers' money for preferred placement (which, of course, happens in every bookstore you ever go into)... Grateful Dead releasing MP3s (this *just* happened now?)... IBM tries a different downloadable music scheme (been there, done that)... CNet shells out lots of cash to provide content to AOL (if CNet, wants to pay me millions, I'll let them put content here as well)... AOL also made a deal with Columbia House so now two of the most annoying direct marketers in the world are working together (I know, we can all feel the excitement)... Oh wait, now Delta *is* giving special fares if you buy online (first they announce it, then they take it back, now they announce it again)... Spinner.com to add international music, as it receives a ton of financing... Excite finally adds movie info... E*Trade customers file a class action lawsuit for the week o' crashes... AT&T Worldnet up to 1.5 million subscribers, and is still experiencing growth pains... Network Solutions registers 621,000 new domains in the fourth quarter of 1998 (but how many people actually paid for those?)... Cendant decides to sell of RentNet, Bookstacks, and Match.com (what, no NetMarket?)... More "trademarked search terms" lawsuits, this time courtesy of Playboy... Yahoo! will "expedite" your listing in their directory for a small fee (is this a sign of bad things to come?)... Hallmark accidentally reveals the private info (and messages) of folks sending electronic greeting cards (though they patched the bug in under 5 minutes, once informed)... Slate discovers that subscription fees just weren't cutting it, and finally returns to being free (um... okay, "we told you so!!! Nyah nyah nyah!")... CMP, who has promised to stay independent (sounds like Lycos), has hired on Lazard Freres to explore selling themselves... Nintendo 64 emulator code thought to be released (turns out it's just a messy reverse engineering job) as Nintendo decides to sue... Microsoft overwhelmed by requests for free copies of Office 2000 in exchange for answering a lengthy survey... 

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Surprises: 
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Kodak is actually going to try Picture CD again... Yahoo! to get into web hosting through its Viaweb backend (what strikes me as odd about this is that it's a half-assed solution, which is something that Yahoo! usually is not known for)... VCs invest in NetZero, giving yet another go at the free ISP deal (despite what successes Dixons has with Freeserve across the Atlantic, they certainly have been a dismal failure here)... British Telecom has selected Inktomi for its searches (apparently, BT doesn't want its customers to find anything useful)... EDS and MCIWorldcom exchange employees and services... Dell makes $7 million in one sale to Norwest... The owner of eFlowers.com sells the domain to Flowers Direct for $50,000, free flowers sent to his wife each month for life, and $0.50 per transaction done on the new site... Thomas Kurlak, who many considered the expert on Intel's stock, despite some recent miscalls, leaves Merrill Lynch after 20 years to go to Tiger Management... When Infonet hired some expensive design firm to create their ISP a nice web page, they were impressed with how it looked, but not how it worked.  There were lots of broken links and such.  Something just didn't seem right.  Turns out the many thousands of dollars they spent went into simply a copy of http://www.ibm.net/ .  Infonet has since taken down their site, but the front page is preserved here: https://www.techdirt.com/uptodate/infonet.jpg for your view pleasure... 

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(Mis)Uses of Technology: 
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SmartFrog giving out rebates if you buy at any of its partner sites (including Amazon.com, eToys, and Beyond.com)... Alexa Internet's system of showing ads of competitors when you visit a particular site (lawsuit, anyone?)... Refrigerators connected to the Internet... 

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Studies: 
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CBS News has revealed that web users are still younger and richer than the average population.  They also found that among those not hooked in to the Internet, most see no reason to go online... The SEC believes that corporate America is lying about how ready it is for Y2K... Over half of people online are from the US according to the Computer Industry Almanac... The Internet Advertising Bureau says that online ad sales in the first nine months of 1998 hit $1.3 billion... The latest numbers from Dataquest show that over one half of US homes have a PC... Oh really?  NFO Interactive actually did a study to prove that online investors are more active... Small ISPs will have a difficult fight against the big folks, says Analysis (it's a research firm, apparently)... ZD's ComputerShopper does a study that shows that nearly 20% of PCs are now bought over the web, directly from the manufacturer's web page... 

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Overhype 
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Free-PCs, Free iMacs, super cheap-o 19" monitors due to a buy.com screw-up.  Let's face it, none of these are what they were cracked up to be.  Signing up for the Free-PC permanently grants you a spot in the "gullible suckers" department.  Signing up for a "free" iMac puts you in the "shoulda read the fine print" department.  And, finally, complaining about the fact that you are *not* going to get a kick-ass monitor for $165 puts you in the "shut up and get a life" department.  And yet no one seemed to notice the following typo at ClubComputer where they were giving away free Dell Inspirons, even to non-members: https://www.techdirt.com/uptodate/freecomp.jpg  (If you see me selling Inspirons on eBay, now you know why)... 

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Predictions: 
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The Linux-ifying of everything: http://www.mpx.com.au/~gths/penguindance (sorry Graham, though it certainly won't generate as much interest as every time Slashdot links to one of your creations)... PeopleSoft says the ERP era is ending (and let's just watch as all the ERP vendors try to redefine themselves into Internet companies)... 

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Too much free time: 
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Who says nothing useful is posted to the web anymore: http://hcs.harvard.edu/~igp/glass.html
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Up To Date is written by Mike Masnick from whatever news he hears from whatever sources they happen to come from.  It is not intended for any uses other than as one of many possible ways to follow what's going on in the hi-tech industry.  I certainly wouldn't rely on it as your only source of info.  And, of course, my comments may not accurately reflect reality. Finally, an explicit warning about investing: I do not, under any circumstance, consider any piece of information in this newsletter "investment advice" and neither should you. 

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