Up-To-Date - November 9 - 15, 1998

from the Up-To-Date dept

Looking for dumb money to be thrown this way
Up-To-Date
The not always serious,
not always weekly update
on the High-Tech Industry
November 9th - November 15th, 1998
Looking for dumb money to be thrown this way
--------------------
Say that again...
--------------------
"I suggested that it wasn't helpful to any of their goals or our goals to have software that had incompatibilities and was low quality and broke."
- Bill Gates, you know who he is. Do you think he said this with a straight face?

"I don't want you to say I said it's ridiculous, but, whatever."
- Francis Gaskins, financial analyst, on EarthWeb's IPO. I'd like to hear Francis' comments about theGlobe's IPO...

"Prior to the development of the Internet, airline industry pricing was borderline stupid."
- Julius Maldutis, analyst at CIBC Oppenheimer. Implying that, thanks to the Internet, they've gone over the border?

---------------
Apologies
---------------
Took an unscheduled two-week break there. Sorry 'bout that. These things happen. Should be back on a regular schedule this week, though, if Comdex proves to be as painful as expected, I may have to recover. Also, it seems that the "subscribe" mechanism on the web page was down for about half a day this week. Of course, those affected probably won't be able to read this, so I'll stop whining about it.

------------------------------------------
Earnings Reports, IPOs and the like
------------------------------------------
K-Tel makes a deal with Microsoft, following on last week's deal with Playboy, and the stock (of course) shoots through the roof. Oh, but then they state that they need "substantial" investments to keep going, and the stock collapses again... Meanwhile, the folks at Playboy Enterprises report that their online revenues doubled last quarter, but their losses quadrupled (of course, this is excellent, I'm sure, according to the new rules of internet company finance)... Oracle bought Concentra for $43 million (a bit more than twice their market cap)... Dell has a great quarter, but Wall Street isn't totally impressed... Okay, I admit that I might have slept through a couple of those accounting classes back at school, but could *someone* who stayed awake please explain to me how "new accounting rules" could change the acquisition charge that Motorola chalked up for acquiring Starfish Software to drop from $117 million to $18 million. Thanks...

------------------------------------------------
Rumors, Conspiracies etc. of the week...
------------------------------------------------
Creative Technology to launch a hostile bid for 3Dfx... Borders to drop out of the online commerce race?... Sega, as if they didn't have enough problems, is having production problems with their new Dreamcast console, and expect to only deliver half the expected units to stores in time for the holiday season... Joe Firmage forced out of the USWeb-soon-to-be-ReInvent CEO spot, thanks to his new-age-spouting book...

----------------------------------------
News you should have read elsewhere
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Netscape (still looking for that working business model?) steps into online billing... E*Trade's new plans for the International Securities Exchange... Beta copies of Office 2000 are crashing Wintel machines all over the place... Qualcomm and Microsoft's WirelessKnowledge finally announced... Pete Higgins, Microsoft's VP of interactive media to step down...

--------------------------
News you could do without
--------------------------
Charles Schwab, Excite, and Intuit to work together to provide you all the financial news you could probably already get elsewhere... Meanwhile, Bank One is paying $125 million (yes, this world *has* gone crazy) to Excite in order to be their finance center (um, what about the previous deal?)... AT&T WorldNet adds communities (very original, guys. What's next, instant messaging?)... As if Globalstar doesn't have enough problems already, they've delayed the launch of 25 satellites... News reports all week talking about RealAudio as if they've already been beaten by Microsoft... Mecklermedia buys jumbo.com... SGI claims they've now got the world's fastest computer (maybe they'll use it to calculate how much longer they can stay in business)... AOL steps into the comparison-shopping world with the purchase of PersonaLogic... AOL increases to 14 million users... And, as if AOL hasn't made enough noise this week, they also released the latest version of ICQ ("not ruined yet", some say) and discuss their new ICQ "portal" (one step closer to the grave)... iMac is CompUSA's best selling computer ever... News.com redesigns the site to make it harder to actually read news (and while I'm picking on news.com, I feel obliged to point out their crack investigative reporting team turned up the following gem: "Ingram dominates Amazon supply". Who would've guessed? Everyone?)... Compaq finally decides to sell directly to consumers... Netcom for sale (again)...

------------
Surprises:
------------
Intel expects $2.5 billion in online revenue for Q4, and a kick ass quarter altogether (and those stagnating shares finally move up again)... Sales of Lotus Notes outpaced MS Exchange last quarter... Experian and Intellipost sell bits and pieces of each other to each other... Marc Andreessen's investment in Replay being considered news... Classified Ventures suckered into buying Auction Universe... GeoCities buying WebRing (why did this happen?)... Geocities to use Switchboard (is GeoCities just trying to be nice to Internet has-beens?)... Netscape *buying* AtWeb for $92 million (is it my imagination, or could Netscape have built the same functionality in about a week)... Levi's decides to sell clothes directly online, pissing off department stores... Earthlink teaming with Network Solutions (okay, this one seems questionable on the ethics spectrum)... iSyndicate gets funding (if *they* can get funding, perhaps techdirt should try to)... Microsoft claims Intel bullied customers (pot calling kettle... nah...)... Intel investing in Be...

-------------------------------
(Mis)Uses of Technology:
-------------------------------
Audible to offer downloads of "verbatim" readings of the Wall Street Journal at a price... Excite to use "virtual credit card wallet" (also known as "big fat credit card security risk") to allow you to buy stuff from multiple merchants while only entering personal info once... Funerals online... Trying to sell a Russian space shuttle on eBay (okay, I admit, it's pretty damn funny). Link probably won't last all that long: http://cgi.ebay.com/aw-cgi/eBayISAPI.dll?ViewItem&item=40868497 ...

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Studies:
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The shareholders of all those e-commerce companies would like to thank the folks behind the Dell/Harris study that showed online shopping was going to be big this holiday season... Visa added their two cents (no, probably a bit more) saying that holiday online shopping would boost clothing over CDs and books as the hot category... Too bad Jupiter followed up with their study showing that 42% of e-commerce web sites studied have crappy customer service... But, that's okay, because Consumer Reports now says online shopping is "OK" (thanks, guys)... IDC reports that AOL has become "synonymous" with the Internet (amazing how much nausea one little study can cause, yes?)... Another study from IDC says that the online brokers will see increasing competition over the next few years... The costs to fix your Y2K problems is going up as time runs out according to Cap Gemini... Nielsen releases a study saying that internet access has little impact on TV viewing (contradicting their earlier study showing that it caused people to watch *more* TV, contradicting their earlier study saying that it caused people to watch *less* TV)... Market Tracking International says that digital delivery of music will be big business in the next few years (the question is for who?)... A study from Rochester's Simon School of Management says that paying for information on the Internet will increase...

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Overhype
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TheGlobe.com and EarthWeb. Read their statements. Make your own decision. Don't look to me to say bad things about them. I'm tired of actually *thinking* about these things, and so, apparently, are investors... Yes, the Amazon, Barnes & Noble dueling press release were damn funny, but then they showed up *everywhere*. For those of you who were obviously on another planet this week:
http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/981106/wa_amazon__1.html
http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/981106/barnesandn_1.html
http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/981106/wa_amazon__2.html

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Predictions:
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Too much money going after lame ideas. See above. This is a bad sign. For the most part, I am very much an Internet optimist, but things are just going crazy... With all the timed-specifically-to-Comdex press releases coming out this week, nothing really big will be reported...

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Too much free time:
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How to write an apology:
http://www.theregister.co.uk/981113-000020.html

Up To Date is written by Mike Masnick from whatever news he hears from whatever sources they happen to come from. It is not intended for any uses other than as one of many possible ways to follow what's going on in the hi-tech industry. I certainly wouldn't rely on it as your only source of info. And, of course, my comments may not accurately reflect reality. Finally, an explicit warning about investing: I do not, under any circumstance, consider any piece of information in this newsletter "investment advice" and neither should you.

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