Up-To-Date - October 12 - 18, 1998

from the Up-To-Date dept

In memory of Jon Postel
 Up-To-Date 
The not always serious, 
not always weekly update
on the High-Tech Industry
October 12th - October 18th, 1998
In memory of Jon Postel
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Filtering
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Working on making some small changes to the format of Up-To-Date following some feedback.  I admit, the “News You Could Do Without” section has gotten a little unwieldy, and many people choose not to read it.  This week I’ve added a “News You Should Have Read Elsewhere” section to cover the big, but not so exciting stories.   NYCDW will remain as a section full of news tidbits that shouldn’t have surprised anyone, and the media shouldn’t have wasted space on, but did.  Please let me know what you think of the change, and if you have any more suggestions.  Thanks.

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Say that again...
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"Everyone says that when the 'net comes to television, it'll really kick. And I say no, it won't. It'll probably just be really annoying TV."
- Omar Ahmad, Netscape.

"You are a wooden board. Intel is a threaded fastener.  Microsoft is a tool that drives threaded fasteners into wooden boards.  Are you getting the picture yet?"
- Alice Hill and Bill O’Brien, in The Hard Edge in Computer Shopper’s September issue.

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Earnings Reports, IPOs and the like
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@Home still losing money, but at the expected rate... Intel beats estimates easily, and the stock still drops (which appears to be due to their cautioning that next quarter – usually a big one – won’t be)... CBS.MarketWatch files to go public (in response, a co-worker of mine replied “just which market have they been watching?”)... LSI Logic to cut 1,200 jobs... Apple beats estimates by a long shot, and makes money for yet another quarter.  Of course, thanks to Steve Jobs’ magic tricks everyone seemed to miss the fact that revenues were actually down, despite the iMac... Compaq barely beats estimates... Kodak’s revenue dropping big time... E*Trade barely beats estimates (or misses them entirely, depending on your accounting preferences), but we can say for sure that they are still losing money... Excite losing more money than expected (unless you discount their Netscape deal, and then they’re doing just dandy)... Sun barely beats earnings estimates and keeps on growing... NCR beats estimates (hell, they surprised me by still being in business)... Adobe expects to beat estimates (that’s what you get when you fire all of your expensive top management)... USWeb (who still insist they are changing their name) posts a profit, which was a surprise... DoubleClick beat expectations by a bit... Broadcast.com beats estimates as well... 

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Rumors, Conspiracies etc. of the week...
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Microsoft, which had been planning to release a tax product to compete with Intuit’s TurboTax is going to delay release for yet another year... Bertelsmann came close to making a deal with Amazon before finally buying into barnesandnoble.com... In the meantime, the latest is that the potential combination of CDNow and N2K is only to have both of them be acquired by Bertelsmann as well (add to that the potential created by the new “network” described below and there’s suddenly quite a large online commerce concern)...

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News you should have read elsewhere
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IBM expected to hit $100 Billion in revenue by 2001... CMP to get rid of LAN Times (because, of course, LANs are so *old school*)... Four big name online retailers form a network (to compete with Amazon, of course): CDNow, Cyberian Outpost, eToys, and Reel.com (is this preparation for more mergers?)... EchoStart to offer Internet access and interactive TV via its satellites next summer... Sprint offers $9.95 Internet access for home-based businesses that use its long distance services... Gov’t approves increase in high tech visas... Zapata abandons its Internet plans (okay, you can stop snickering now)... Amazon in Europe... No more delays (yet) in the Microsoft trial... Intel picks up 5% of Micron for $500 million... Crackers break into the Indian Army web site... Intel negotiating with S3 so they don’t get sued for infringing on Exponential patents with Merced... The Recording Industry Association of America won its restraining order preventing Diamond from selling their MP3 device for now (love it when judges who don’t understand this stuff make dumb rulings)... 

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News you could do without
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The Direct Marketing Association (junk snail mailers) has taken over the Association of Interactive Media as they plan to let the professionals learn how to spam us all... Microsoft’s WebTV is collecting info about users surfing habits and creating reports on them for future use in advertising (“Microsoft: Where do we think you should go today?” or “Who has paid us the most to tell you where to go today?”)... Columbia House offering custom CDs on their website... The Rod Stewart webcast (which I made fun of a few weeks back) was apparently so popular that it is going to be *repeated* (only confirming my suspicions that the web is turning into a lowest common denominator entertainment medium)... 25% of all tickets in the post season for the San Diego Padres home games were sold online by Ticketmaster... Quicken.com adds content from CBS.MarketWatch and TheStreet.com... 60% of Cisco’s sales occur over the Internet, saving the company over $550 million a year... Compaq to move AltaVista to the west coast, though their GM will stay behind... 1-800-Flowers restructures its online group... AOL to use Open Market for e-commerce technologies... Shareholders of Bay Networks sue Nortel over “misleading” financial info... Iomega getting ready to release the Clik drive at Comdex (wait, wasn’t that last year’s headline?)... SportsLine settles trademark dispute with the telephone service of the same name... Young & Rubicam to handle advertising for Geocities... Lycos new site lasts a few hours until many problems are discovered and the old one gets put back up... Microsoft has posted code that allows you to kill that damn paperclip in Office (apparently the clip cries out “I’m melting! I’m melting!” before being squashed)... 

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Surprises:
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The Wall Street Journal to raise the rates of an online subscription by $10 (meaning either they’re doing well enough that they undercharged originally, or they’re not making enough money and need to squeeze a few more pennies out of their current customers)... Merrill Lynch has decided to offer free access to its stock research online... InterNIC hacked to point AOL.com to a different domain... Symantec to buy Quarterdeck... Wal-Mart suing Amazon (the Wal-Mart of the Internet! – ugh) for stealing trade secrets by hiring away certain key personnel... 

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(Mis)Uses of Technology:
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ValueClick is offering to put up banner ads with sound (anyone remember what happened last time this was tried?  No?  That’s because you didn’t miss anything)... Alexa Internet donates a “copy” of the World Wide Web (only two terabytes?) to the Library of Congress... Yahoo! Autos “lemon check” feature... Virtual Reality autopsies done over the Internet... 

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Studies:
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Despite DoubleClick’s recent troubles, the InterMedia Advertising Solutions’ InterWatch report claims that online advertising nearly doubled in the first quarter of ’98 as compared to the same quarter last year... Gartner Group claims that next year half of all IT budgets will go towards Y2K spending... A study by Inverse Network Technology Inc. has found that there were a lot more failed attempts at connecting to the Internet in September.  The blame, apparently, goes to folks back at school and, of course, the Clinton stuff... Media Metrix has released its list of most visited websites for August, and AOL leads the list with more than double the number of visitors than number 2 Yahoo! (interesting)... Zona research shows that Netscape’s browser is leading in corporate settings (and it also said that when corporate users are given the choice, they prefer Netscape)... Transamerica Intellitech and National Mortgage News report that many people use the Internet as a source of info for refinancing mortgages, but very few actually complete the deal online... Arbitron says that the Internet is cutting into the amount of time people listen to the radio...  Meanwhile, Forrester has released a report saying that radio stations need to use the Internet to drive e-commerce (eh?)... 

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Overhype
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There were way too many articles about how you can now search AltaVista for pictures.  Lycos has had that functionality for as long as I can remember... Apple’s new Sherlock technology which really doesn’t sound all that impressive... The island of Tuvalu and the deal they made with some Canadian company to sell .tv domains, which they (honestly) think will be big sellers... 

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Predictions:
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The 31 companies that Zapata has suddenly decided not to buy will file a lawsuit against Zapata and Mr. Glazer... 

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Too much free time:
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Not for the squeamish:
http://www.zug.com/zug/scrawl/lobster/
 

Up To Date is written by Mike Masnick from whatever news he hears from whatever sources they happen to come from.  It is not intended for any uses other than as one of many possible ways to follow what's going on in the hi-tech industry.  I certainly wouldn't rely on it as your only source of info.  And, of course, my comments may not accurately reflect reality. Finally, an explicit warning about investing: I do not, under any circumstance, consider any piece of information in this newsletter "investment advice" and neither should you. 

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Comments are always welcome! 

If you would like to discuss this article with others, feel free to go to the Diner, or to e-mail our discussion list, backstage.
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