Math Traces Patterns In The Stock Market

from the yeah,-prove-it dept

For years I've heard all about mathematical predictions for things like the stock market, and every time someone comes along with a program that they think will predict the market, it's pretty quickly proven wrong. So, I'm a bit skeptical about any story that talks about such ideas. This time, researchers are looking at the ever popular "power laws" to predict big trends, such as crashes. They think their research could be useful for those trying to hedge on their investments.
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  • identicon
    BSD, 14 May 2003 @ 4:37pm

    No Subject Given

    third line "like eartquake, trading on the market is random ..."

    Math modelization of markets assumes it s made of unrelated events, i.e. random but it s factually false. I stop reading here

    link to this | view in chronology ]

  • identicon
    Aaron, 15 May 2003 @ 1:42pm

    Foundation

    I am reminded of Hari Seldon's Psychohistory in this regard. It modeled the whole of a human society, and could make acurate predctions of large groups of people. But, that's fiction. The reality is that unforseen random events cause sharp changes of direction, in society and the stock market. You can't predict randomness - otherwise it's not randomness.

    link to this | view in chronology ]


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