Calling Competition A 'Race To The Bottom' Won't Make It Go Away
from the it's-called-competition dept
Bill Rosenblatt has a puzzling article accusing Radiohead of sparking a "race to the bottom" with its name-your-price experiment. There are a couple of big problems with the article. In the first place, Rosenblatt tries to paint the experiment as a failure, but the facts don't support his conclusion. Rosenblatt seems horrified by the fact that 62 percent of downloaders paid nothing, and the remaining 38 percent paid about $6 per album. But that works out to $2.28 per person, which, according to some back-of-the-envelope math by Luis Villa, is right about the average royalty for a major-label CD. If Radiohead got roughly the same amount of money, and got a ton of free publicity in the process, that sounds like a smart move to me. And most likely, this reasoning understates Radiohead's revenues, for two reasons. First, a lot of the people who downloaded without paying probably wouldn't have bought an album anyway. And second, Radiohead has signalled that the comScore statistics Rosenblatt is using are inaccurate. So the results may actually be even more favorable for Radiohead than Rosenblatt's numbers suggest.But the strangest thing about Rosenblatt's article is the pejorative use of the term "race to the bottom" to describe competition in the music industry. When Apple cuts the price on the iPod, we would be really surprised to see a columnist complaining about how Apple had started a "race to the bottom" that will undermine profits among consumer electronics companies. We understand that, as painful as competition can be for producers, consumers and the economy as a whole benefit from such aggressive price-cutting. Talking about a "race to the bottom" is the language of cartels, which try to hold prices above the competitive level. Music is like any other product As the marginal costs of production and distribution fall, it's natural that the price of music will fall as well. Smart musicians and companies will find ways to adapt and prosper in the new, more competitive marketplace. As we've said before, saying you can't compete with free is saying you can't compete at all. The sooner musicians and record labels realize that, the more prepared they'll be when the price of music drops out from under them.
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Filed Under: business models, competition, free markets, music, radiohead
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correct to #1
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Re: correct to #1
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"the original vision of DRM...was not about major labels or CE vendors; it was fundamentally about offering choice in the market so that the race to the bottom does not happen."
I'd like to know how restrictions upon content that affect device compatibility represent choice. Many times these arguments are couched in terms that are supposed to sound like they apply to the consumer, when in actuality they apply only to the industry. They love to have "choice" of how, where, by whom, and with which hardware (made by a cooperating manufacturer) content can be accessed.
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Re: #1
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Re: Re: #1
Notice RIAA and its affiliates were never mentioned in the first comment. Just Radiohead. I think the first comment was suggesting that Radiohead made even less money than the $2.28 that was suggested by Tim since they had to cover their own recording and publishing fees.
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Re: Re: Re: #1
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Re: Re: #1
What about people stealing music as if they somehow are justified, because they believe that the recording industry is evil. I guess in the world of downloading music illegally two apparent wrongs make a right.
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Re: Re: Re: #1
It's not "my" little world, because I buy CDs (directly from the artist whenever possible--which is frequent with the ones I listen to); I buy CDs because I like the physical artifact, liner notes in my hand, and so forth. And direct from the artist, prices are far more reasonable than the cost from a retail store, and they make more money per piece. And the world is not "little" either, or else we wouldn't have this conversation.
Two wrongs do not make a right, but they cannot be stopped--unless the business model is adjusted so that "stealing" (an incorrect term) ceases to have a significant effect. I don't defend "stealing," but I do insist that producers absolutely need to adjust if they want to survive.
I apologize for going off on a tangent, but your original argument was actually answered by the original blog post:
First, a lot of the people who downloaded without paying probably wouldn't have bought an album anyway. And second, Radiohead has signalled that the comScore statistics Rosenblatt is using are inaccurate. So the results may actually be even more favorable for Radiohead than Rosenblatt's numbers suggest.
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Re: Re: Re: #1
Actually, that's quite difficult to believe, based on the reports of how much people have paid. Add it up and it's millions of dollars. On top of that, many people have also been paying $80 for the new box set that they're offering as well, with the music downloads giving a huge promotional push there.
What about people stealing music as if they somehow are justified, because they believe that the recording industry is evil
Odd. I have never, ever used that argument -- and actually argue the reverse. First off, it's not "stealing" but I'm not getting into that debate again. If you read what I've written, I make it quite clear that by embracing these kinds of models, you can actually make a lot more money. That's got nothing to do with the moral issue of who's "evil" or not. I'm trying to help the industry make more money. Why would I do that if I thought they were evil?
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He also writes that the idea of the Radiohead experiment (since it is only and experiment) wouldn't be popular with aspiring artists.
You might not like these points and you might not know how to present a counter argument, but pretending he wrote something else is just stupid.
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Race to the bottom
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buy it for 3 dollars
Bill (of course) says DRM is a wonderful thing, but the market say otherwise.
Once during the mid 80's we were robbed in the shift from vinyl to cd. (when we bought on cd what we had on records)
The industry DRMers want us to pay for each player, change of player, computer, and any other device we want to use the music that we buy on.
DRM free music is freedom, and radiohead is the vanguard.
I just love how these international mega corporations who's sole purpose is to keep the money that the wandering minstrel makes.
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If you want to go down that road then Radiohead is actually irrelevant to the entire argument. I believe Radiohead "experiment" was more of a political statement to reveal just how numbered the days of traditional publishers and their business models really are. Aspiring artists, those who have realistic goals and are aware of whats going on in the industry, already know that they will need to take a much more proactive role in their gaining popularity.
Lastly, why pundits, industry heads and the like can't get it through their thick skulls that end users will determine how this will all play out is beyond me. Bitch and whine all you want, if people aren't buying then its tough shit. You either do things their way or die a quick financial death.
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And...
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Wait until the tour before you count the money
It is too early to be offering success or failure opinions in this venture. Wait until they have enough evidence in the form of net profits to express a qualified opinion. Personally I hope they get filthy rich since they took a risk while everyone else is standing around griping about how rough it is and that is how capitalism should work.
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flawed math
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Re: flawed math
That's why I can't understand all the hoopla surrounding the fact that so many people paid nothing. It's the same misunderstanding that surrounds P2P/torrent downloads - many people will use such services to try before they buy. After all, the whole point of Radiohead's model was for people to pay what they thought the album was worth. How do you know what it's worth before you listen to it?
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Once again, F--k the RIAA and DRM'ed music
All of my MP3 files that I ripped from my own CD collection play fine (and free) on the new cell phone. Yet, if the RIAA would remove their heads from their asses for two seconds, they would realize that a lot of consumers are happy to pay for music.
What I won't do is let the RIAA take me hostage in the form of music downloads that are DRM'ed to death. I would pay for the freaking downloads from Verizon, as long as I could also play the songs on my IPOD. How complicated is that for the music industry suits to understand?
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Re: #7
This is simply not true. You're right, I can't argue it, because he has no bearing on which to base the original point. I wouldn't say that tomorrow every well-known artist could release all of their albums for free, but I would say that the music market is capable of evolving to a point where musicians on the same level as Radiohead is today can make equivalent money in ways that don't directly involve today's model.
the Radiohead experiment (since it is only an experiment) wouldn't be popular with aspiring artists.
This is also completely baseless. I can point already today to other artists who use a similar model. Rosenblatt says bands have to stick to CDs or copy-protected files, but it doesn't make a difference. If it did, filesharing would hardly ever show up in the news. The point is that bands, whether on their own or with the assistance of labels, have to find other revenue streams, and it can be done, and giving away some content for free is a big part of that.
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& sell your stock in the big 4 labels, (if you hav
But it is important, I think, to focus on the competition for artists from these two very different business models.
That competition occurs in many dimensions, one of them being price. Other things that artists are likely to value are independence and lack of interference in the artistic process that comes with that.
So, if the 'In rainbows' model is anywhere close to competitive on the price front, artists will gravitate to it for the other benefits the model confers.
I am sure that someone will list the benefits of being under contract with a major label, and I would be very interested in seeing those, but, unless I am overlooking something, we are witnessing an example of creative destruction..
& the big four labels are toast...
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