Perhaps The Paperless World Isn't Such A Myth

from the mythbusting-the-myth? dept

Tue, Feb 12th 2008 8:11am — Mike Masnick

At the beginning of the personal computer revolution, there were plenty of predictions concerning things like the "paperless office." However, during the 90's it was widely decided that the paperless office was a myth -- and, in fact, the use of computers had actually generated even more demand for paper as there was more stuff than ever before to be printed. Perhaps, though, the myth of the paperless office was a bit of a myth itself. Or, at the very least, it was merely off by a decade or so. The younger generation is less interested in using paper and more and more people are figuring out that they really don't need paper any more. This won't mean the end of paper over night, but it certainly appears that we're finally reaching a point that some had predicted decades ago, where people are recognizing that it's easier to store things digitally than on paper.

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Filed Under: paperless

29 Comments

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Anonymous Coward, 12 Feb 2008 @ 8:46am

Paperless world
Hold on I need to go and print this out to show my boss.
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Mart, 12 Feb 2008 @ 8:53am

Uh-oh!
Time to sue all office workers, we've got to stop the paper industry from dying!
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CoJeff, 12 Feb 2008 @ 8:54am

Provided that the hard drive where the digital information is stored doesn't fail. I've had 3 drives fail on me over the last 5 years. I'm just grateful the drives were the backup drives.
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- Anonymous Coward, 12 Feb 2008 @ 9:42am
  
  Re:
  Buy Western Digital then.
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  - Anonymous Coward, 12 Feb 2008 @ 9:58am
    
    Re: Re: No way on WD
    Those drives I commented on failing were all Western Digital. I won't be buying their drives anymore.
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    - Etch, 12 Feb 2008 @ 2:25pm
      
      Re: Re: Re: No way on WD
      Western Digital is horrible. I remember many resellers telling me that WD drives made in Taiwan (if I remember correctly) had very short lives and were nowhere near the quality of their older models.
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    - Michael Long, 12 Feb 2008 @ 3:01pm
      
      All drives fail...
      All drives fail. If you'd had a batch of Seagate drives then eventually they'd fail too and you'd be complaining about them instead of WD.
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    - oregonnerd, 6 Sep 2008 @ 10:32am
      
      Re: Re: Re: No way on WD
      ...And the WD drive that failed on me went 12 years. There was a study done mid-90s that there was vanishingly little difference between hard drives (at the time there were actually three makers, and lots of case makers as I recall). As far as solid-state, it only writes so many times. Perhaps we've come to the state, shockingly enough, where we have to consider what we say.
      
      ...Oops. I'll shut up.
      --Glenn
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Overcast, 12 Feb 2008 @ 9:00am

Yeah, working in IT... I think paper copies of some documents are a good idea indeed.
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- HelveticaBlitz, 12 Feb 2008 @ 10:36am
  
  Re: pragmati
  Document backup, definitely. Also: art proofing, and satisfying old fashioned tactile desires.
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Steve, 12 Feb 2008 @ 9:02am

I'm in an office going paperless. The problem is that the older people in the office seem to simply be used to using paper, whether it's more convenient or not. The really funny part is when someone gets irritated that I can't OCR a document back into a usable form, despite the fact that I keep explaining why documents should never be in paper to begin with.
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Matt, 12 Feb 2008 @ 9:08am

Tablets to replace paper
Until people have nice, cheap OLED-paper equivalents (maybe with a program in them to flip multiple pages) for when we want to send documents to people (said technology is probably only 2 or 3 years off, maybe 5 from cheap consumer level), I don't think we'll be rid of paper yet.
Especially since the legal system has a lot of specific requirements for using electronic documents as binding vs paper, that stuff gets fairly complicated.
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- Iron Chef, 12 Feb 2008 @ 10:25am
  
  Re: Tablets to replace paper
  I tried the tablet thing for a while, was extremely impressed with OneNote specifically. (Wow! Whoever did that needs a prize or something.)
  
  The problem however, was the equipment. I had a HP TX1200-series and it seemed like they tried to cram every thing under the sun in that machine. Sure, it was a consumer machine and for $2100 it should probably try be a traditional laptop.
  
  But if I had a "One Note Appliance" per-se with basic internet/outlook functionality that was under $1000 it would be a huge productivity enhancer.
  
  Thougts on how to develop the product:
  Consider what we do in meetings, and a "Meeting device" One with the basics- OneNote, Office, eMail, Internet, would be something that there's a market for. Make it rugged without the flip thing. If I sit on it while getting into a taxi, will it break?
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- 4-80-sicks, 12 Feb 2008 @ 3:44pm
  
  Re: Tablets to replace paper
  Until people have nice, cheap OLED-paper equivalents (maybe with a program in them to flip multiple pages)
  You mean, something almost exactly like a Kindle (already available)? Oh, and forget OLED. It's very cool, but also pretty short life. The e-ink used for the Kindle and similar devices is extremely good though, from what I've heard.
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Glaurung, 12 Feb 2008 @ 9:12am

Maybe paperless had to wait for high resolution monitors. Back when they first predicted the paperless office, your typical monitor was 12 or at most 14 inches at an eye-bleeding 60hz. A sheet of paper held more information than a screen, and didn't flicker or glare at you. Now that 17 and 19 inch monitors are becoming standard, and LCD monitors have all-but eliminated the problems of screen flicker, monitors can now hold as much information as one or even two sheets of paper at full size, and reading off a screen is no longer massively less convenient and comfortable than reading off a printout.
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- Murray Bowles, 12 Feb 2008 @ 12:14pm
  
  Re: screen resolution
  That's it! Once screen resolution gets high enough that Times Roman is an acceptable screen font, paper will be done.
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Ferin, 12 Feb 2008 @ 9:13am

There'll always be a paper trail in the end
Data is simply to easy to alter and tamper with wothout leaving a trace. Companies will still demand that their most sensitive information and archives have hard copies.
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Ken, 12 Feb 2008 @ 9:16am

Paperless hurts my eyes...
I am a young IT guy that stairs at the screens too much. Having some paper around helps save my eye sight. And produces a backup copy that has minimal chances of crashing (aka fire).
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Jared, 12 Feb 2008 @ 9:19am

Paper trails and crashing drives
With the advent of solid-state drives, setting up a redundant solid state storage (similar to a RAID) and at multiple locations would make data loss highly unlikely (about as likely as a fire destroying all of the paper trail.

Also, the legal system has always been behind the curve of technology as it is filled with individuals attempting to cling to the past.
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Iron Chef, 12 Feb 2008 @ 10:11am

ePaper, Where art thou?
ePaper really looks promising, especially for industries that rely heavily on IP or processes that frequently change.

I'd like to point to VW-Audi AEB/ATW engine family and their timeless 1.8L timing belt repair process that was updated almost monthly before going to market with a redesigned engine.

A concievable prototype would be something along the lines of an online repair manual solution for the auto industry, or other industries that may need rights management due to term-based IP licensing or possibly due to frequent deprication of processes, etc.

The reality is that it would probably be a concept tried in Germany first.
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Corey, 12 Feb 2008 @ 10:13am

moving that way
Check out www.imagenow.com , they are a fast growing paperless system that many universities, hospitals, and other large institutions are adopting to at least take departments paperless if not the whole place.
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ZeTron, 12 Feb 2008 @ 10:17am

Sarbanes-Oxley Act
The main reason my company uses paper is for audit purposes called for in the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002. After the Enron scandal and the fall out paperless trails were frowned upon. It's a huge bummer because only about .01% of all the invoices we print and store are ever touched by human hands again. Huge Waste... It's good to see the trend moving again towards paperless
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bob, 12 Feb 2008 @ 11:10am

The only time I print things out is when I'm marking them up, or I know using the computer isn't an option (which is rare).

I think what it took was a combination of good laptops, wireless networking, and reliable servers.
Yes, there are the holdouts and the people that just prefer paper. There are still people out there that have corded rotary dial phones too.

The office will only go completely paperless when not using paper is more convenient than using paper.
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Anonymous Coward, 12 Feb 2008 @ 11:13am

I work in industrial distribution, and until I can have 3 or 4 full size catalogs open on my screen ( and be readable ) we will never go paperless.
When I need to compare dimensions and load ratings of 3 or 4 brands, it is just more convenient to have them all open in front of me, instead of flipping screens over and over.
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Hoeppner, 12 Feb 2008 @ 11:17am

In my system implementation class we had to use a room without a computer, and had to take notes. Half the class didn't have a notebook with them.

I needed to take a page out of my speech notebook, which is the only one I had on me that day.

PS OneNote is very very nice to use. you can shove so much at it and it'll work.
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Jim (profile), 12 Feb 2008 @ 12:14pm

We are closer
to the paperless bathroom than we are to the paperless office. As my old boss used to say.
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The Mangest One, 12 Feb 2008 @ 6:04pm

Paperless world
There are a couple guys who have been talking about the same thing. Check out the link.

http://lessociety.blogspot.com/
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lilyofthevalley, 13 Feb 2008 @ 7:02am

I support the idea, but everyone needs to be on bo
As was noted above by Jared in comment #10, at the very least, our legal system is too dependant on paper. On more than one occasion, I've had difficulty obtaining a paper copy of a cashed check when needed to prove to a company that, say, a last bill on a closed account was indeed closed with a zero balance. (For a while, I moved a lot due to my work, and especially with larger companies, they seem to have a habit of not sending you a closing statement showing a zero balance, then a few years later suddenly claiming you never paid that very last bill.)

Having an image of one, if your bank even still has it available after a certain time, which many do not, is not enough for the courts, because they love to claim it's just a photoshopped fake...despite actual account statements that corroborate otherwise.

Also with courts, often, having a digital copy of a contract as opposed to the originally signed copy is often contested.

Without some sort of inexpensive method that is recognized and accepted by everyone to somehow tag a digitized document as real or original, this will continue to be an issue. I'm still waiting for some sort of electronic notary that the courts will actually recognize. And if such a thing does exist, why isn't it being put more broadly to use and the general public being informed as to its whereabouts?

I'm sure there are other issues as well, in particular dealing with proving creation dates and/or authenticity, that I've not had to deal with. It seems that many people still mistrust digitized documents as there always seems to be stories of people creating fakes, whether it's a accounting books or contracts, etc. Gratis, hardcopy forgeries have a much longer history for obvious reasons, but we need to create more inexpensive (meaning, in part, available to anyone with access to a computer, not just the wealthy) methods to allow the groups that need them to believe that the digitized information is what it is before paperless can really be considered.
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Overcast, 22 Feb 2008 @ 12:23pm

Having an image of one, if your bank even still has it available after a certain time, which many do not, is not enough for the courts, because they love to claim it's just a photoshopped fake...despite actual account statements that corroborate otherwise.

Also with courts, often, having a digital copy of a contract as opposed to the originally signed copy is often contested.

And really.. they shouldn't accept it, it is too easy to fake.
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