Will Technology Really Displace Business Travel This Time?
from the trendwatching dept
For many, many years, there's been talk about how business travel was living on borrowed time, because it was going to be replaced by things like videoconferencing that offered the same benefits at a cheaper price and with less hassle. But every time this sort of boom is predicted, it fails to materialize. After 9/11, video and web conferencing took off for about three months when travel dropped, but then use fell right back down. Several months ago, more such predictions were made with oil prices driving the cost of business travel through the roof, and now, the motivation is apparently the drive to cut costs. For instance, Cisco's CEO John Chambers says that by using the company's own communications technology, it's been able to slice its per-employee travel spending by more than half, and that it won't increase again, even after the recession. Of course, as the NYT notes, Chambers is making a look-how-we-eat-our-own-dog-food sales pitch. But it's worth wondering if a prolonged recession could finally give these travel-replacement technologies the boost they've long been looking for, and supplant business travel, rather than just add to it, as they have largely done thus far.
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Filed Under: cost savings, meetings, technology, travel
Companies: cisco
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Telepresence
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The cost of Video
That said I hate (no that's not a strong word) business travel, its borderline torture. Sit here, turn off your laptop, line up here, wait there, and whatever you do don't complain!
So I hope and pray that immersive and HD video really take off and become acceptable means of communicating!
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bandwidth
so until the majority of ISPs upgrade there networks TP is as likely to happen as paperless offices.
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Sure - why not
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Incrementally
Good point. It seems the claims of a "teleconference revolution" never materilaize. But instead, we DO have the very real fact of steadily growing use of collaboration and telepresence services.
I think this stuff is for real, but it just isn't a revolution. It's incremental growth, based on steady and incremental improvements of the technology and broadband infrastructure.
Derek.
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Get out the books on all the schizo crap and then consider the fact that while I'm a 6 foot 154lb twig in person, there is a difference between someone who could not really win a physical fight and the fact that they go in assuming they "can" win the fight. While it helps that most of my opponents know I'm x-military with decorations (part of the "mystique") but look non threatening, just gives more credit to the fact that I am serious when I make demands.
The fact that I don't give a crap about who you are, what you've done, how much you are worth, only "really" comes across face to face, other mediums simply can't get that "feel" for the opponent felt on all sides. Any salesman will likely say the same thing, it "has" to be face to face.
The funny thing, I'm a programmer anymore. But I have been a damned good salesman in the past.
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Re:
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For now. Eventually (some are claiming this telepresence thing is doing it already, I have no idea) there will be technology good enough that all the nonverbal cues are there. Personally, I think if you could have high-resolution video, good quality audio (not boomy, no echo or feedback), and no lag, that would really be good enough for most purposes. In my experience, the lag time is what kills the videoconferencing experience.
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Respect
I work for a company with customers all over the world, we use video conferencing as much as possible. But nothing will beat the face to face with a handshake at the beginning and end, and these face to face meetings affect sales directly.
While many of our competitors don't do as many business trips (and save money), they're also struggling to expand while the company i'm with just keeps on growing, even in the economic downturn.
Psychologically a video conference means, I don't want to spend the time & money to see you and shake your hand; and nothing beats a good hand shake at the end of a meeting.
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Alternative Modes of Organization.
Once people find internet-based organizational forms which work, they can step up the pace, and force things to happen at internet speeds.
For example, one could envision a system in which every salesman is also a user trainer and a repairman, etc., who operates out a local office, and provides support to the people he sells to. The local offices have sufficiently broad autonomy. This of course means that you have to train the salesman to a very high standard, but this would hopefully make a favorable impression on the customer. Your customer contact is thus essentially local, and your long-distance operations consist of training and otherwise supporting the salespeople. The internet is well suited to enabling a salesman/repairman in the field to rapidly contact a designer to talk about some strange and unforeseen occurrence not covered in the shop manual.
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Face to Face communication is not important to the next generation.
Most relevant to this conversation is how web savvy teenagers are much more comfortable in forming relationships and communicating electronically versus in "real life". I would go as far to say that in the minds of the most engaged there isn't a distinction.
Contrast this to our generation. We formed our worldview when the internet was in its infancy. Therefore face to face is natural (like a mother tongue) versus electronic communication which was a learned skill.
When todays teenagers become tomorrow's business leaders expect a completely different attitude. The concept of "face to face" will not be relevant.
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Re: Face to Face communication is not important to the next generation.
Face-to-face meetings will never end as long as there are managers who prefer to spend endless hours beating topics to death and berating various team members and engaging in empire building within corporate walls.
I had a project lead who conducted a weekly status meeting that lasted nearly four hours. This was in addition to code reviews, peer reviews, design reviews, formal and informal testing, and management reviews. All of these meetings took a lot of time and effort to prepare for. Then he'd stand up and yell "why does everyone complain they have no time to get anything DONE around here?"
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Re: Re: Face to Face communication is not important to the next generation.
But I disagree. Attitudes can change. Ask the average adult to press a button or bell and the vast majority will use their index finger. This has been the case for many generations. If you as most teenagers today they will instinctively use their thumb.
This significant change in a basic and instinctive change is generational and is completely due to the games console and the mobile phone. These teenagers will go in to their adult life knowing that the using your thumb to press a button is natural and normal and the use of an index finger is "weird".
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One thing about teen attitudes is that they change when those teens become adults.
There are industries more readily tailored to virtual communication tools and there are those that are not. It isn't technical shortfalls that make certain industries resist the use of those tools.
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Thank..
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