Misleading Scientific American Report On Traffic Cameras
from the not-always dept
Tom sent over a report saying that redlight cameras aren't just about making money for local police (and the companies who sell redlight cameras), but that one study in Barcelona found that the city saved a ton of money due to fewer accidents. Now, what I find interesting about this is that it seems to contradict nearly every other study we've seen on this subject. Study after study after study after study after study has shown no decrease in the number of accidents... and in many cases an increased number of accidents. So is there something that Barcelona did differently with its cameras that resulted in a decrease in accidents?After digging in, it looks like some of this may just be bad reporting by Scientific American's Cynthia Graber. First, she focuses the article on red light cameras, but the actual study she discusses was for speed cameras. I'm surprised that Scientific American would mix up the two, since they're clearly different. Second, as some people pointed out in the comments to Graber's story, the study happened over a two year period during which unemployment in Barcelona shot up drastically, potentially leading to fewer cars on the road, especially during rush hour periods when accidents are most likely. In other words, while this might be some evidence in support of speed cameras, at best, it shows a correlation, and the causal factor may be something entirely different, such as the amount of cars on the road.
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Filed Under: accidents, barcelona, redlight cameras, speed cameras, traffic cameras
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Still in favor
I just don't buy the argument that the presence of red light cameras cause more accidents than they prevent. The common excuse given for this is that because of the camera, and in an attempt to avoid a ticket, when the light turns yellow, people slam on their brakes, causing them to get rear-ended.
If this is truly the case, then it presents more to the fact that people can't drive for shit, rather than the cameras cause the accident. First, there is no need to slam on the brakes when the light turns yellow, if you're so concerned about getting rear-ended, run the yellow and take your chances with the much cheaper ticket you "might" get than the inevitable collision that will occur.
Second, if the person behind you isn't capable of paying attention to the fact that the traffic light their approaching is turning yellow and they need to consider stopping, and instead is driving so close to you that when YOU stop for the yellow light, they use the back of your car to stop theirs, then they shouldn't be driving in the first place.
Maybe if we taught people how to be better drivers, and made them pass a more rigorous test before just handing out licenses all willy-nilly, then maybe accidents at intersections would be reduced whether there was a camera or not. But blaming accidents on the presence of a camera is just a cop-out and an attempt to avoid taking responsibility for ones own actions and crappy driving skills.
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Scientific American
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Re: Still in favor
If there were actual stringent requirements in obtaining a drivers license, it would never have become an issue in the first place.
So, to civilly disagree with you--red light cameras are not a solution, they're just an extended symptom of the problem.
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Re: Still in favor
Reference the multiple studies Mike links to... there seems to be a mountain of numbers that suggest otherwise. Another point in these reports is this: even if the lights don't directly increase the number of accidents, they also don't decrease the number either. It looks like (in many of the studies) the T-bone collisions are traded out for rear-end collisions.
No argument here... I lose count of the stupid I see on the 10min drive to work every morning. But does that mean that it's OK to introduce a factor that may exacerbate the situation? Why set idiots up for further failure? Unless the revenue the city receives is worth that...
Again, no argument here... but this doesn't really address the safety of the cameras or the risks and rewards they bring. In my opinion, if there are assholes riding my rear bumper, and the city is forcing me to make the choice between a possible ticket or getting rear-ended because the (in some cases, shortened) yellow-light gets me in that horrible window of 'not sure if I can make it'... I'm more pissed at the city for putting me in that situation.
Still, no argument here. It seems you're making a good statement... but unfortunately, it doesn't actually say anything to the point of the cameras. Saying they increase the number of accidents is not a 'cop-out' nor is it an avoidance of responsibility. It is all about setting up the stupid for failure.
And how is it a cop-out for someone else's bad driving if it affects me? I'm not the one that was tailgating if I get rear-ended due to the camera. What if the guy in front of me stops suddenly for the yellow, which causes me to hit my brakes, and the guy behind me was tailgating and hits me? I had plenty of room, but still had to stop suddenly. How would that be me avoiding responsibility?
I’ve worked as an auto claims adjuster. Trust me… the situation above happens all too often.
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Re: Still in favor
FIFY
The red light cameras are a reaction to people driving poorly. The reaction caused even more people to drive poorly (you don't just slam on your breaks without something being directly in front of you). If you want people to drive safer, there are much easier ways to do that, they just don't make money.
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Another problem is that some municipalities that have them installed have found the ticket revenue so lucrative that they couldn't resist the temptation to shorten the yellow-light time in order to catch more violators.
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Re: Still in favor
The rear-end issue is quite true and sometimes it's not a matter of driving too close or lack of attention. Sometimes you look at your side mirrors to go to the other lane and in that small period of time the guy in front of you slams his break and when you react and slam yours the damage is already done.
I have mixed feelings about the cameras. I've been to the US once, northwest coast. And, surprise! Ppl respect the red lights even when they aren't red! Drivers will often stop if you mean to cross the street even with green lights. And they'll ignore red lights if there's no traffic in the intersection they are at depending on if they want to cross or to turn left/right.
So, uh, education is by far the best option and red light cameras (or speed cameras) are just auxiliary measures.
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The Only
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Re: The Only
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Re: Re: The Only
I've been doing 'in the trenches' code monkey work for several years now.
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Re: Still in favor
In the case of the traffic light cameras, I think a similar pattern emerges, which you may have even hinted at in your scenario. Traffic light cameras are presumably intended to reduce (to use another commenter's phrase) "T-bone" style accidents by disincentivizing drivers attempting to "beat the yellow" and speed through the light. However, this may cause them to overreact to yellow lights (as other commenters, and moreover the above-mentioned studies) have pointed out, in effect rearranging the problem and causing another kind of accident.
The increase in accidents may simply be due to the fact that, as we all are used to this sort of "stupidity" while driving, we anticipate it, thus partially reducing the incidence of the first kind of accident. However, most of us do NOT follow safe prescriptions for following distance, making the latter type of accident more likely, particularly as unexpected behaviors in response to new incentives arise.
We can all agree that there is a lot of bad behavior from drivers, but forcing another kind of bad behavior doesn't make these problems go away.
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Re: Scientific American
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Re: Re: The Only
No officer, I wasn't texting, I was trying to reboot the self drive CPU!
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Re: Re: The Only
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Re: Still in favor
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Re: Re: Re: The Only
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Re: Still in favor
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Re: Re: Re: The Only
I don't think this situation is as likely. Leaving aside the technological advancement that would necessarily precede self-driving cars becoming mainstream, there is already a lot of attention paid to making embedded systems far more stable than PCs precisely because they require less user interaction.
This is why you don't usually have to "reboot", say, your exercise equipment, or a parking meter, despite it likely having an embedded computer system. It is also more stable by virtue of the fact that users don't get to mess with it as much, by installing software, etc.
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traffic lights
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Re: Re: Still in favor
But...I doubt that's the case. It isn't always drivers behaving badly, but poorly designed or antiquated road or signal systems that should be addressed.
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Traffic lights suck
Nearly every red light could be done better with a "round-about" or traffic circle. Traffic would move better, fuel efficiency would increase (as there would be less idle time) and maintenance costs would decrease.
Of course the American mindset cannot embrace this idea, so we have lights and revenue-generating cameras
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Re: Still in favor
I 100% agree that we need to make people pass more rigorous tests...if they can't drive, don't pass them...if they have their license and are pulled over for being a hazard to traffic (assumes cops are out looking for hazards, not necessarily speeders or other such big-fine ticket items...), revoke their license...if people can't handle the consequences of reckless driving, then I'm not confident they should be on the road in the first place.
For red lights, I still believe in two things: increase yellow light timings...in the city that I currently live in, the yellow light timings are all over the place...downtown where speed limits are 25mph, yellow lights last 5-7s...out on the fringes of town where speed limits are 55, some yellow lights are not even 2s long (also...red light cameras :) )...if that's not problem causing, I don't know what is. The second issue that I think needs to be addressed is the pause between a direction receiving a red light and another direction receiving the green. That pause should aid in clearing an intersection. My only issue with this though would be concern that behaviors might be affected over time...and people would ignore red lights as well...
In the end, the cause of the issue (too many unqualified drivers on the road) needs to be addressed...
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Cameras Suck, but they work
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Re: Re: Still in favor
1) No red light camera and the person assumes they are going fast enough to get ALL THE WAY THROUGH the intersection before another direction turns green
or
2) Red light camera and the person assumes they have to SLAM their brakes to come to a stop in time. This can (and is) exacerbated by shortened yellow lights.
There's an easy, low cost multi-part solution that would have a better benefit:
1) Increase the duration of the yellow light signal by 0.5 seconds
2) Have all directions be red for 1 second in between transitions
3) Add a new painted road marker (i.e. a line across the road) to give people an idea of whether or not they can "make the light" if they're following the speed limit. If you're between the line and the stop light, it's safer to NOT brake. If you're before the line, you should be able to stop in time.
Works in theory... :-)
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Re: Cameras Suck, but they work
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Camera issue
"One has a moral responsibility to disobey unjust laws"-MLK
(and yes, a stupid disguised toll that protects no one, and encourages more reckless driving on a yellow light, is an unjust law)
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If that's an issue for you, see previous post about following too closely. Checking mirrors and blind spot before changing lanes shouldn't take more than a second or two...Hence the 2 second rule for following the car in front of you.
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RLC (and speed scameras) are NOT for safety, but money
In the meantime most RLC "tickets" are for technical fouls like right turns on red, stopping over the stop line and split second mistakes.
As for the speed scameras.
Be aware that the police have been BUSTED manipulating numbers by underreporting like in the UK: http://www.thenewspaper.com/news/29/2913.asp
quote: UK Department for Transport reports threefold undercount of road accidents during the speed camera era.
Or in Austrailia underreporting deaths: http://www.banthecams.org/201107171466/Victoria-Police-exclude-72-deaths-in-record-low-road-toll.-To -make-scameras-look-good.html (or http://www.heraldsun.com.au/ipad/victoria-police-exclude-72-deaths-in-record-low-road-toll/story-fn6 bfm6w-1226088420032) Quote: POLICE excluded more than 70 deaths from Victoria's road toll last year before declaring it a record low.
Victoria Police did not tell the State Government it had not included 72 other deaths, amounting to 25 per cent of its claimed record low toll of 287 fatalities.
Be wary of accepting "reduction" in accidents claims. In Wiltshire UK, the police were saying speed scameras help "reduced" accidents that were:
http://www.thenewspaper.com/news/05/538.asp Quote: The Wiltshire and Swindon Safety Camera Partnership claims that three months of speed camera usage on the M4 highway in the UK has slashed serious road accidents by 64 percent. "This dramatic reduction in crashes is as a direct result of our strategy to enforce the national speed limit on this section of the motorway, no other changes have been made to slow traffic down or to make the road any safer," explained David Frampton, the Project Manager for the camera partnership.
That sounds like a significant benefit, except road safety experts say the camera officials are lying. "There is absolutely no mechanism by which their claims could be true," said Paul Smith, founder of the Safe Speed road safety campaign.
The Association of British Drivers (ABD) fought with the camera partnership for release of crash data under the Freedom of Information Act. According to the documents, the crashes cited in the formal justification for the placement of cameras on the M4 include:
•an accident where a pedestrian fell from a bridge
•an accident where a gust of wind pushed one truck into another
•several tire blowout accidents
•a crash where a car drove the wrong way
Fight the SCAM!
Ban the CAMS!
check out:
www.motorists.org
www.banthecams.org
www.camerafraud.com
www.bhspi.org
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Re: Still in favor
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Re: Still in favor
The yellow light timing length is shortened to insure that you will be in the intersection when the light turns red.
This is why people started to jam on their brakes at yellow lights.
This was proven in city after city and if you don’t have a problem with that then your a fool.
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Re:
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Re: Re: Still in favor
Um, no. As far as I have seen, this is a direct violation of state law in most, if not all, states. If you suspect this has happened, call your state transportation department(most have toll free numbers) and report it.
Cities have been fined for this very thing, and they have to follow the rules just like we do.
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Re: Scientific American
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Re: Traffic lights suck
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Re: Re: Re: Still in favor
I especially like the idea of a standardized warning line painted on streets, showing where a car can expect to make it through an intersection at the speed limit without the light turning red.
As it stands now, red light AND speeding cameras are nothing more than ways to suck in more revenue, but doing so in the worst ways possible. I'll always be against any system that issues citations with no realistic appeal process. Why do we assume automated systems don't make mistakes? Of course they make mistakes, they just do so with greater speed and efficiency than people. Even the worst police officer isn't going to write hundreds of incorrect citations every day.
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Un-Scientific American
I can not tell if red light cameras increase or decrease accidents at those intersections with them. The access to the raw data, analysis of survey sampling, and studies of factors like holiday and weather are not available to me. The studies Mike cites are not studies, they are reports from politically canted newspapers and car enthusiast sites that should be suspected of bias or should be taken as anecdotal or hearsay at best. You complain about Scientific American not being scientific and use even shoddier evidence to support an opinion presented as fact. Shame on you!
One fact is obvious: If you are caught by a red light camera
you ran a red light. You are a bad driver and deserve the fine. My town has cameras on every major intersection (and many minor ones) and I have not had a ticket in over twenty years. I suspect most of the boys and girls complaining about RLC tickets here are simply self indulgent, undisciplined, douche bags who are so pathetic they break traffic laws as whiny passive-aggressive acts of rebellion and hate that there are mechanisms created to catch them. Just wait twenty years to when, after ignoring the third HUD display warning that you are exceeding the posted speed limit, the car's on board management ECU reads your implanted RFID chip and reports your speeding to a roadside enforcement WiFi hotspot. The ticket will be in your email in basket when you get home. Orwell would laugh his guts out.
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Re: The Only
i hope ms doesn't get the bid for Windows COS
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Re:
Red light cameras don't stop the problem of bad drivers, it compounds it. There are easier and more effective ways to solve the problem, but they cost money not make it.
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Re: Cameras Suck, but they work
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Re: Re: Cameras Suck, but they work
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Re: Un-Scientific American
Anyways. What happened to the mindset that, it is better to let the guilty free than punish an innocent? Multiple times, red light camera have been shown to "malfunction", ticketing drivers who stopped late, moved up to the line while a red was showing, or went though a light that wasn't red yet.
Also, bad reporting has been so prevalent in my lifetime, and I imagine many of the other commenters' lifetimes (25 and younger), that it is no longer considered abnormal or unexpected.
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Re: Re: Re: The Only
Second, unless you're driving an antique, chances are pretty gosh darned good that your car already is run by a computer. My current one is, my last one was (model year 1996) and possibly one or two before that.
When is the last time you rebooted your car because it started running oddly? Seriously.
They do fail, sometimes disastrously, but rarely. Please don't assume that every computerized process is as error-prone as a Windows installation. (Have you ever had to reboot your microwave?)
The real problem with self-driving cars is designing them and/or their travel environment to avoid or cope with problems, not the robustness of the computers themselves.
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Re: Re: Still in favor
The problem with this reporting is that it equates the number of collisions with safety. As you say, red light cameras cause an increased number of collisions while reducing the number of T-bone collisions, the later being much more likely to result in serious injury. I think if we are going to argue against the cameras it needs to be something other then that they increase the number of collisions.
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Re: Un-Scientific American
One fact is obvious: If you are caught by a red light camera
you ran a red light. You are a bad driver and deserve the fine. My town has cameras on every major intersection (and many minor ones) and I have not had a ticket in over twenty years. I suspect most of the boys and girls complaining about RLC tickets here are simply self indulgent, undisciplined, douche bags who are so pathetic they break traffic laws as whiny passive-aggressive acts of rebellion and hate that there are mechanisms created to catch them.
Now that is some sweet irony.
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Re: Re: Un-Scientific American
Bad reporting started long before my birth, this doesn't mean we should tolerate it. I have never read an article in a major newspaper that had content I had first hand knowledge of that was accurate. We should complain and hold reporters to high expectations of accuracy and objectiveness.
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Re: Re: Un-Scientific American
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Re: Re: Still in favor
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Re: Re: Still in favor
rearranging the problem and causing another kind of accident.
The cause is the person following too closely.
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Re: Re: Still in favor
The cameras don't cause a hazard; bad drivers do.
"we need to make people pass more rigorous tests"
I don't support that. Driving is a right. If people cause an accident then throw the book at them but until then...
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Re: Re: Re: Re: The Only
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Re: Traffic lights suck
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Re: Re: Re: Un-Scientific American
And in a world of flawed humans and fallible technology, exactly how would you implement such a system?
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Re: Re: Re: Un-Scientific American
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a stupid act by a person in front of you at exactly the wrong time causes wrecks
No, the person who slams into the car in front of them caused the wreck. If it takes you two seconds to check (that's an awfully long time) you need to stay more than two seconds behind the car in front of you. It's not rocket science.
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Re: Re: Re: Still in favor
In the US, driving is not recognized by law as a right. The whole concept of a driver's license is because some people have the privilege of driving and others do not. You may think it ought to be a right, but that's the situation. Also, if you believe stricter licensing requirements are wrong because they remove the "right" to drive, then there really shouldn't be any requirements at all. If you're over the state's minimum age and have a pulse, you can drive?
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Re: Re: Un-Scientific American
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Don't Read It
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Red Light Cameras
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Re: Re: Re: Re: Un-Scientific American
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Re: Re: Re: Re: Un-Scientific American
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Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Un-Scientific American
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Re: Re: Re: Re: Still in favor
I guess the main thing I'd like to say is I just don't believe the training will produce safer drivers. If we're talking about learning the rules of the road, then I agree, but as far as driving skill, I'd rather just leave it to people to know their own limits. I feel the same way about speed laws. Let me drive as fast as I want, but if I cause an accident I'll have to face the consequences.
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Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Still in favor
That's true, however gun ownership is enumerated. And without the right being stated in law, you're not going to be able to defend it against the state except by violence.
In this case I equate driving with the right to freely move about the country.
People who have lost their driver's licenses, or don't qualify for one, still have the right to travel freely.
I guess the main thing I'd like to say is I just don't believe the training will produce safer drivers.
Do you think it's unrelated coincidence that European countries with much more rigorous training also have better drivers? How could more and better training (and stricter driving tests) fail to make drivers better?
Let me drive as fast as I want, but if I cause an accident I'll have to face the consequences.
If you were the only one facing the consequences, that would be fine. However, you might kill me and my family if you misjudge your talents, which is why we have speed limits.
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Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Still in favor
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Re:
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Re: Re: Traffic lights suck
Traffic circles are okay for tiny, single or double lane intersections that are easily navigated and visualized, but for large, heavy traffic patterns they are absolutely the worst idea evar.
Kudos to Jersey for finally ditching them.
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Re: Re:
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Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Still in favor
Are you familiar with the effect known as risk compensation? Speed limits are more of a political tool than anything else, similar to the TSA. Killing anyone would be a tragedy but you still need to show that the action being taken is actually preventing such a tragedy. Just like I'm not willing to accept any and all airport security measures without it being proven that it is actually keeping me safer. Otherwise, it's just a political move. I understand that the autobahn is one of the safest roads in the world.
I believe there are too many differences between European countries and the US, roads, cars, etc. to draw an accurate conclusion. I think the training may help, on the other hand people will do some things no matter risky they know them to be.
I guess it depends on your definition of a right. One could say that when the government restricts some behavior, then that must not have been a right. However, I believe that the government is capable of violating someone's rights, and so just looking at what the government has or hasn't done is not an accurate way of determining rights.
Regarding enumeration, those powers not specifically granted to the government are reserved by the people. Therefore, it is more correct to say that you have all rights by default, and only the restrictions on your rights is what gets enumerated.
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Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Still in favor
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Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Still in favor
It's just physics, really. Momentum = 1/2 times mass times velocity squared. So the kinetic energy of a vehicle increases with the square of speed. There's only a certain amount of energy a car can absorb before transferring some to the occupants, so the more energy in a crash, the worse the injuries, above a certain threshold. So unless accidents become less and less likely at higher speed (something I'm sure you're not claiming), increased speed will tend, over time and all other things being equal, to result in more fatalities.
There is a tradeoff between safety and convenience of course. I wouldn't want all our highways to have 30 mph speed limits, even though that would doubtless make them safer. If you believe the increased numbers of deaths from having no speed limits would be worth it, then I simply disagree with you.
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Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Still in favor
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Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Still in favor
That *is* what I'm claiming, hence my reference to the safety record on the autobahn. Yes, obviously the individual accidents will be more severe. The fact is when people think they're near their limits, they tend to use extreme levels of concentration. When they think they're well below their limits, they do things like texting, adjusting the radio, looking away, etc.
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Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Still in favor
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Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Still in favor
Rights > Constitution > Law
Think of cases where a law was declared unconstitutional. In those cases, a judge said that a person has a right to this or that and so the law was voided. If the judge would have come at it from the opposite side and said, well, the law says you can't do this or that so therefore you have no right to, then no law could ever be declared unconstitutional.
Perhaps you mean the right to drive is not enumerated in the constitution. Well I've already covered that. While the it does state a handful of rights explicitly, it's main purpose is to list the rights granted to government. It is wrong to say that you only have the rights explicitly stated in the constitution. So how do you know what rights you have? You don't really; otherwise we wouldn't need so many lawyers. It's something you personally believe in and fight for.
On a related note, what do you think about recent talks about a right to internet access? Because that's not stated anywhere either but many people are arguing that there is one.
Before you think my position is too extreme, I want to say I do think the right to drive can be taken away under certain circumstances, just like many other rights. I just think people would be in a stronger position if it was considered a right.
Since my comment on training started this whole thing, let me go back to that. It's been my experience that most licensing procedures make you go through a lot of red tape and bureaucracy while teaching you little. The drivers tests are so ridiculously easy so I question whether we need them at all. Now if everyone had to pass a performance driving test that might be different, but I just don't see that happening.
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Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Still in favor
That's not very convincing unless you know of two countries (or states) that differ only in their speed limits, and are very similar in other respects: driver education, licensing requirements, traffic enforcement, average age of drivers, whatever else I'm forgetting. I don't think it's at all obvious that American drivers text and put on makeup while driving because the speed limit is low.
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Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Still in favor
+1 on that. Plus we could laugh at Youtube videos of people failing the test.
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Re: Still in favor
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